Measurements of Uncertainty
1. Truth and Meaning
Semantics: model-theoretic and proof-theoretic, operational, conceptual-role
Validity of ampliative inference: Hume and Popper
Chinese Room argument and symbol grounding problem
2. Uncertainty Measurement
Probability: axiomatic definition and empirical interpretations, Dutch Book argument, Bayesian brain, Cognitive bias
Ignorance: as distribution (maximum entropy), interval (imprecise probability), or higher-order measurement (higher-order probability)
Fuzzy logic: operation and interpretation
3. Experience-Grounded Semantics
- Evidence
- Two-factor truth-value
- Multiple representations
- Ideal experience and actual experience
Reading
- Non-Axiomatic Logic: A Model of Intelligent Reasoning, 2nd Edition, Chapter 3